Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.156675 0.185204 0.217152 0.255539 0.300368 0.351027 0.412578
2025-08-17 0.107789 0.142391 0.185341 0.242404 0.316061 0.407750 0.530362
2025-08-24 0.085287 0.122471 0.172312 0.243661 0.342793 0.475222 0.665060
2025-08-31 0.067697 0.104258 0.156514 0.236103 0.353610 0.519942 0.772295
2025-09-07 0.057767 0.094519 0.150038 0.239212 0.377880 0.584055 0.912223
2025-09-14 0.049608 0.085751 0.143151 0.239869 0.397422 0.642177 1.048716
2025-09-21 0.042316 0.076985 0.134659 0.236238 0.408942 0.688243 1.170591
2025-09-28 0.036813 0.070239 0.128296 0.234825 0.423230 0.739381 1.305194
2025-10-05 0.034259 0.068253 0.129647 0.246542 0.460743 0.832275 1.518735
2025-10-12 0.032562 0.067545 0.133067 0.262182 0.506676 0.943907 1.775827
2025-10-19 0.030023 0.064787 0.132250 0.269708 0.538424 1.033377 2.002176
2025-10-26 0.026810 0.060157 0.127180 0.268305 0.552948 1.092615 2.178547
2025-11-02 0.022915 0.053688 0.117970 0.258312 0.551244 1.124451 2.313178
2025-11-09 0.019288 0.047209 0.107856 0.245171 0.541810 1.140913 2.421296
2025-11-16 0.017371 0.044258 0.104783 0.246456 0.562237 1.218554 2.659949
2025-11-23 0.015066 0.039978 0.098111 0.238816 0.562437 1.254623 2.816682
2025-11-30 0.013788 0.037979 0.096331 0.241960 0.586646 1.343407 3.093920
2025-12-07 0.012509 0.035751 0.093668 0.242624 0.605219 1.421869 3.356955
2025-12-14 0.011148 0.033060 0.089467 0.238953 0.613126 1.477435 3.574823
2025-12-21 0.010065 0.030930 0.086352 0.237524 0.626169 1.545885 3.829069
2025-12-28 0.009698 0.030767 0.088317 0.249370 0.673359 1.698441 4.294874
2026-01-04 0.009507 0.031089 0.091622 0.265182 0.732446 1.885184 4.860704
2026-01-11 0.008990 0.030336 0.091874 0.272790 0.771240 2.026713 5.330999